The terrorist attacks in Mumbai had a number of aims, one of which was to set a fuse to the tense inter-communal standoff. The jihadis not only want to destroy Pakistan, they want to destroy India as well. India in their eyes is everything they hate: Hindu, vibrantly free and democratic, implicitly and increasingly pro-American and militarily cozy with Israel.
Just as the chaos in Iraq through early 2007 threatened the post-Ottoman state system from Lebanon to Iran, creeping anarchy in Pakistan undermines not only Afghanistan but also the whole Indian subcontinent. The existence of terrorist outfits like Lashkar-e- taliba that have links with the Pakistani security apparatus but are outside the control of Pakistan’s own civilian authorities is the very definition of chaos.
A collapsing Pakistan and with it the loss of any real border separating India from Afghanistan, is India’s worst nightmare. It brings us back towards the borders of the Mughal world, but not in a peaceful way. The jihadist attack on India’s financial centre not only damages Indo-Pak relations, but makes Pak’s new civilian government – which has genuinely tried to improve the ties with India – look utterly pathetic. Thus, the attack weakens both countries. Any understanding over Kashmir, is now further than every from materializing. Meanwhile, Pakistan’s military suspects that Washington will desert their nation the moment the leadership of al-Qaeda is by any chance, killed or captured.
Making matters worse, every time the US launches an air attack into Pakistan from Afghanistan, it further destabilizes the Pakistani state. That is why the Mumbai attacks bring true joy to the most dangerous elements of the Pakistani security establishment; the tragedy has caused the world to focus on India’s weaknesses that have been obscured by its economic success. Evert day that goes by without riots in India is a defeat for the Mumbai terrorists. Indeed, India’s own Muslims have demonstrated against the attacks.
But India, not just Pak, desperately needs help. Just as solving or atleast neutralizing the Israel-Palestinian dispute is a requirement for reducing radicalism and Iranian influence throughout the Levant, the same is true of the Indo-Pak dispute at the other end of the greater Middle East.
Our best strategy is, as difficult and trite as it sounds, to be at all places at once, not with troops, necessarily, but with every bit of energy and constant attention that our entire national security apparatus-and those of our allies-can bring to bear.